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Red41
50325.8
356817.4
499811.9
Blue150
26047.8
261950.2
233766.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47109015020025030041150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#26
25.81.3
31.029.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 40.5
66.34.2
48.853.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3568
#31
17.41.3
16.214.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 32.8
2619
#12
50.24.2
38.742.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4998
#36
11.91.3
9.38.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
2604
#40
7.84.2
11.615.9
Auto
Teleop
End