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Red156
515531.0
438238.7
168437.9
Blue67
50325.8
261950.2
150624.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions759305015020025030035015667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.76.6
24.230.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.6
2619
#12
50.21.9
42.941.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1684
#22
37.96.6
34.941.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.1
503
#26
25.81.9
29.727.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5155
#23
31.06.6
18.224.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
1506
#24
24.41.9
17.115.2
Auto
Teleop
End