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Red40
377032.9
341512.1
388621.1
Blue15
26047.8
501714.1
499811.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533901001504015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.8
22.721.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.8
5017
#34
14.11.9
16.114.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3886
#27
21.10.8
15.214.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
4998
#36
11.91.9
15.113.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3415
#28
12.10.8
12.712.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
2604
#40
7.81.9
9.98.0
Auto
Teleop
End