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Red97
26047.8
31444.7
132235.6
Blue126
377032.9
511439.3
499418.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8269020406010012014016097126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#2
44.71.1
38.339.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
5114
#18
39.33.7
30.834.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
35.61.1
34.035.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
32.94.0
21.925.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2604
#40
7.81.1
8.09.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.8
4994
#32
18.63.7
18.121.8
Auto
Teleop
End