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Red160
261950.2
388621.1
511439.3
Blue197
438238.7
520123.1
46824.0
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99510150200160197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2619
#12
50.24.6
42.346.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.6
38.79.2
31.240.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5114
#18
39.34.2
34.538.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.4
468
#17
24.09.2
11.320.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3886
#27
21.14.6
14.519.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
5201
#19
23.19.2
16.125.3
Auto
Teleop
End