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Red101
261950.2
515610.0
515027.4
Blue181
124341.2
508424.6
504628.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions897650100150101181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2619
#12
50.20.8
46.947.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
1243
#11
41.26.3
36.242.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5150
#13
27.40.8
29.830.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
5046
#10
28.16.3
24.330.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5156
#39
10.00.9
10.711.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.6
5084
#20
24.66.3
17.824.1
Auto
Teleop
End