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Red122
528232.8
524615.4
335736.5
Blue32
523317.3
432728.7
523421.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10052015020012232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#25
36.51.5
44.846.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
4327
#34
28.71.4
22.721.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5282
#17
32.81.5
34.636.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.6
5234
#24
21.21.4
19.518.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5246
#36
15.41.5
13.414.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
5233
#31
17.31.4
17.416.0
Auto
Teleop
End