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Red123
517332.4
518216.9
7463.7
Blue141
125421.8
516258.8
523421.2
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12163050100150200250123141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#12
63.70.6
66.166.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
58.83.5
48.752.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5173
#13
32.40.6
32.032.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.6
1254
#30
21.83.5
4.88.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5182
#40
16.90.6
13.514.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
5234
#24
21.23.5
18.121.6
Auto
Teleop
End