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Red26
261134.6
48388.7
523317.3
Blue94
525729.7
247429.8
366721.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions609201502002503003502694

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2611
#21
34.62.0
34.632.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
2474
#39
29.80.4
35.135.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5233
#31
17.32.0
20.618.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.4
5257
#19
29.70.4
32.132.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4838
#37
8.72.0
9.87.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.6
3667
#27
21.30.4
19.419.7
Auto
Teleop
End