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Red86
477621.7
505627.1
518216.9
Blue109
194013.9
365843.1
517332.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5090015020025086109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5056
#23
27.11.5
24.526.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.0
3658
#15
43.11.3
40.141.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4776
#26
21.71.5
14.215.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.7
5173
#13
32.41.3
30.331.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5182
#40
16.91.5
17.318.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
1940
#35
13.91.3
13.614.9
Auto
Teleop
End