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Red74
525115.2
432728.7
335736.5
Blue195
125421.8
261134.6
477621.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8453010015074195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#25
36.50.2
37.036.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
2611
#21
34.66.9
28.835.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4327
#34
28.70.2
26.426.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
1254
#30
21.86.9
15.021.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5251
#38
15.20.2
15.415.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
4776
#26
21.76.9
14.121.0
Auto
Teleop
End