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Red173
31459.7
50341.7
81541.2
Blue117
30850.2
31324.7
12339.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130111050150200250300173117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#3
59.70.8
54.655.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.5
308
#8
50.20.0
49.950.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
503
#6
41.70.8
36.637.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
123
#20
39.90.0
39.739.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
815
#25
41.20.8
36.136.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.5
313
#31
24.70.0
24.524.5
Auto
Teleop
End