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Red110
204825.3
28028.4
31459.7
Blue126
47031.9
341448.1
262027.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7998050150200110126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#3
59.71.4
45.146.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.6
3414
#18
48.11.5
50.151.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
280
#26
28.41.4
18.119.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
470
#14
31.91.5
23.825.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2048
#34
25.31.4
19.120.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
2620
#10
27.02.6
21.323.9
Auto
Teleop
End