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Red116
341448.1
356832.7
440533.9
Blue118
473718.5
262027.0
439026.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105540150200250116118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3414
#18
48.10.9
51.652.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.1
2620
#10
27.04.6
23.928.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4405
#30
33.90.9
26.627.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
4390
#19
26.22.8
22.425.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3568
#21
32.70.9
19.020.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.1
4737
#28
18.54.6
16.020.6
Auto
Teleop
End