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Red51
341448.1
438015.0
506717.3
Blue88
285135.5
267617.0
366828.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79806070901001105188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3414
#18
48.11.4
52.651.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.6
2851
#23
35.50.4
40.640.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5067
#39
17.32.4
10.38.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.4
3668
#15
28.70.4
25.425.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4380
#32
15.01.4
16.515.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
2676
#35
17.00.6
14.314.9
Auto
Teleop
End