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Red183
440533.9
12339.9
125043.9
Blue185
511455.0
262027.0
54859.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97133050150200250183185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1250
#11
43.94.0
40.644.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.6
548
#13
59.52.9
54.657.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
123
#20
39.94.0
34.738.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.1
55.02.9
44.247.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4405
#30
33.94.0
27.631.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
2620
#10
27.04.8
28.633.4
Auto
Teleop
End