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Red141
364157.4
473718.5
511455.0
Blue105
204825.3
285135.5
332264.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12112250100150200141105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.40.9
54.755.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
64.20.7
60.059.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
55.00.9
48.048.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.5
2851
#23
35.50.7
36.735.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4737
#28
18.51.4
21.022.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
2048
#34
25.30.7
22.822.1
Auto
Teleop
End