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Red102
436259.6
476812.8
125043.9
Blue78
509032.1
170136.5
506717.3
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1256905010015020025010278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.60.7
54.453.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.1
1701
#27
36.50.0
37.237.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1250
#11
43.90.7
45.244.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.7
5090
#12
32.10.1
26.526.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4768
#29
12.80.7
16.816.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
5067
#39
17.30.0
13.613.6
Auto
Teleop
End