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Red177
354228.0
125043.9
81541.2
Blue85
473718.5
440533.9
438015.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8350010015020025017785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1250
#11
43.94.9
33.738.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.0
4405
#30
33.91.5
25.627.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
815
#25
41.24.9
24.729.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.7
4737
#28
18.52.5
16.418.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3542
#22
28.08.2
19.928.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.0
4380
#32
15.01.5
13.414.9
Auto
Teleop
End