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Red131
81541.2
341448.1
332264.2
Blue131
439026.2
267617.0
102550.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15477050100200250300350131131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.0
50.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3414
#18
48.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.9
4390
#19
26.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
815
#25
41.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.2
2676
#35
17.0
Auto
Teleop
End