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Red198
438015.0
204825.3
356832.7
Blue135
511455.0
506717.3
526321.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49900100150200198135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3568
#21
32.77.1
23.030.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.3
55.02.6
46.348.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2048
#34
25.37.1
21.128.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
5263
#24
21.13.4
20.523.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4380
#32
15.07.1
10.918.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
5067
#39
17.33.4
16.520.0
Auto
Teleop
End