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Red114
170136.5
521715.0
50341.7
Blue154
31459.7
356832.7
81541.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82119050100150200250114154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#6
41.71.3
36.137.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.0
314
#3
59.72.0
51.653.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1701
#27
36.51.3
37.138.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
815
#25
41.22.0
31.333.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5217
#40
15.01.6
14.916.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.7
3568
#21
32.72.0
30.232.2
Auto
Teleop
End