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Red151
511455.0
356832.7
364157.4
Blue137
440533.9
436259.6
360448.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146151100200250151137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.40.1
58.158.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
59.60.2
62.462.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
55.00.1
55.655.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
3604
#17
48.50.2
51.351.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3568
#21
32.70.1
33.333.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
4405
#30
33.90.2
36.736.5
Auto
Teleop
End