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Red116
54859.5
332264.2
506623.5
Blue189
31459.7
50341.7
81541.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1511350100200300400500116189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.20.5
64.864.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
314
#3
59.70.9
58.158.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
548
#13
59.50.5
60.059.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.8
503
#6
41.70.9
40.140.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5066
#33
23.50.5
24.023.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.7
815
#25
41.20.9
39.640.4
Auto
Teleop
End