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Red128
6648.3
522216.5
30251.0
Blue138
6847.1
516621.1
481943.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117104050150200250128138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#3
51.00.2
50.851.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
68
#11
47.10.5
45.445.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
66
#6
48.30.2
48.148.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
4819
#32
43.40.5
41.642.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5222
#28
16.50.2
16.316.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
5166
#14
21.10.5
19.419.9
Auto
Teleop
End