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Red114
528234.4
525119.9
377036.9
Blue23
438122.7
522612.4
522429.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595920408010011423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3770
#15
36.92.7
30.433.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
5224
#25
29.63.0
13.310.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
34.44.6
15.319.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.7
4381
#24
22.71.8
33.431.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5251
#17
19.94.6
13.317.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
5226
#37
12.43.0
11.98.9
Auto
Teleop
End