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Red70
525119.9
522429.6
261950.5
Blue103
515536.0
6648.3
521523.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions759805015020070103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2619
#13
50.50.4
50.249.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
66
#6
48.30.4
37.137.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5224
#25
29.617.9
31.313.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
5155
#23
36.00.5
31.031.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5251
#17
19.91.9
15.213.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
5215
#34
23.20.4
26.627.0
Auto
Teleop
End