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Red43
523815.7
521610.5
377036.9
Blue131
515027.9
515611.9
516621.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5139010015043131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3770
#15
36.90.3
31.130.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
5150
#19
27.94.5
24.729.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5238
#29
15.70.5
7.16.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
5166
#14
21.14.5
11.215.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5216
#39
10.50.5
11.310.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
5156
#21
11.94.5
5.49.9
Auto
Teleop
End