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Red118
522612.4
283437.1
30251.0
Blue102
341515.8
124355.6
261950.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70110050100150200118102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#3
51.02.1
36.738.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
1243
#26
55.60.1
40.140.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
37.13.5
29.232.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.4
2619
#13
50.50.1
50.650.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5226
#37
12.43.5
10.113.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
3415
#27
15.80.1
12.912.9
Auto
Teleop
End