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Red56
521523.2
261950.5
357026.2
Blue100
522216.5
501718.7
341515.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1083005015020025056100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2619
#13
50.52.0
50.648.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.7
5017
#30
18.72.9
19.422.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3570
#38
26.22.0
18.316.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
5222
#28
16.52.9
10.313.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5215
#34
23.22.0
27.125.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
3415
#27
15.82.9
12.915.7
Auto
Teleop
End