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Red100
522932.5
24440.2
516621.1
Blue96
522429.6
89423.8
438237.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions717240608010012010096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244
#8
40.21.5
32.634.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
4382
#31
37.91.2
33.034.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
32.51.5
23.424.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
5224
#25
29.62.0
21.823.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5166
#14
21.11.5
15.016.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
894
#12
23.81.2
17.018.2
Auto
Teleop
End