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Red147
6648.3
21625.7
522216.5
Blue93
481943.4
438122.7
341515.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions798705015020025030035014793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66
#6
48.33.4
43.747.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
4819
#32
43.40.4
40.640.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
216
#16
25.73.4
23.026.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
4381
#24
22.70.4
29.529.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5222
#28
16.53.4
13.216.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
3415
#27
15.80.4
15.716.1
Auto
Teleop
End