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Red60
515027.9
501718.7
357026.2
Blue62
214513.6
520329.3
525119.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions734601001502006062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5150
#19
27.90.4
30.229.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
5203
#22
29.30.6
22.122.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3570
#38
26.20.4
15.615.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
5251
#17
19.91.0
17.518.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5017
#30
18.70.4
22.822.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
2145
#35
13.60.6
10.711.3
Auto
Teleop
End