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Red125
377036.9
438237.9
357026.2
Blue29
521610.5
525119.9
522216.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9439015020025012529

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4382
#31
37.92.0
34.035.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.0
5251
#17
19.91.3
19.518.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3770
#15
36.92.0
35.637.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.4
5222
#28
16.50.9
17.516.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3570
#38
26.22.0
15.717.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.7
5216
#39
10.51.3
10.69.2
Auto
Teleop
End