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Red119
438237.9
70326.4
523138.1
Blue110
520329.3
261950.5
481943.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86129050100150200250300119110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.11.3
29.530.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.3
2619
#13
50.50.6
46.445.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4382
#31
37.91.3
35.937.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
4819
#32
43.40.6
46.245.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
703
#20
26.41.3
26.828.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
5203
#22
29.30.6
29.228.6
Auto
Teleop
End