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Red82
90427.8
12547.8
362055.7
Blue79
524833.0
517325.1
437726.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84630501001502002508279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.70.0
43.743.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.8
5248
#23
33.00.6
30.230.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
904
#22
27.80.0
22.222.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
4377
#20
26.60.6
20.521.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1254
#38
7.80.1
15.215.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.3
5173
#10
25.11.0
15.816.8
Auto
Teleop
End