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Red70
515226.9
433723.6
520427.2
Blue102
522723.4
295978.1
440912.2
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49122010015020025030035070102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5204
#32
27.20.5
10.110.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 50.8
78.10.4
69.469.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5152
#18
26.90.5
18.518.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
5227
#31
23.40.4
24.424.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4337
#33
23.60.5
32.032.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
4409
#37
12.20.7
17.016.3
Auto
Teleop
End