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Red173
485537.4
357249.9
517325.1
Blue41
46828.7
524833.0
520427.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1066705015020025030017341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.93.7
45.549.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.0
5248
#23
33.01.6
30.929.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4855
#13
37.43.7
37.641.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
468
#11
28.71.6
23.822.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5173
#10
25.16.1
16.822.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
5204
#32
27.21.6
18.116.5
Auto
Teleop
End