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Red85
150214.4
90427.8
520427.2
Blue115
387516.7
438143.6
46828.7
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5376010015085115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
904
#22
27.81.4
25.126.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.7
43.62.1
28.831.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5204
#32
27.21.4
16.618.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
468
#11
28.72.1
26.128.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1502
#36
14.41.4
14.916.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
3875
#35
16.72.1
17.619.8
Auto
Teleop
End