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Red82
90427.8
354729.8
485537.4
Blue121
14122.3
524616.3
432542.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions777860709010011012082121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4855
#13
37.40.2
30.730.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
4325
#19
42.82.4
36.038.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3547
#21
29.80.2
26.526.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
141
#14
22.32.4
28.130.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
904
#22
27.80.3
20.320.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.6
5246
#39
16.32.2
15.417.6
Auto
Teleop
End