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Red38
345246.6
423718.3
387516.7
Blue79
46828.7
437726.6
14122.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87710501001502003879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3452
#16
46.62.3
45.142.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.9
468
#11
28.70.3
28.929.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
18.32.3
21.319.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
4377
#20
26.60.3
21.521.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3875
#35
16.72.3
18.616.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
141
#14
22.30.3
23.523.7
Auto
Teleop
End