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Red59
345834.7
505624.3
387516.7
Blue48
194016.5
361726.7
350926.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605801001502005948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.70.0
21.021.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
3617
#12
26.70.5
24.423.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5056
#17
24.30.0
22.322.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
3509
#24
26.20.7
19.819.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3875
#35
16.70.0
16.216.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1940
#34
16.50.7
13.813.0
Auto
Teleop
End