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Red53
295978.1
150214.4
525513.3
Blue118
345834.7
517325.1
362055.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1189305015020025053118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.13.1
84.481.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.4
55.71.1
50.952.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1502
#36
14.43.1
13.810.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.2
34.71.1
21.022.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5255
#29
13.33.1
16.113.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.8
5173
#10
25.11.4
25.026.4
Auto
Teleop
End