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Red77
437726.6
438143.6
515226.9
Blue57
522723.4
46828.7
432542.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions861040501502007757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.60.6
34.734.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
4325
#19
42.82.2
45.843.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5152
#18
26.90.6
28.027.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
468
#11
28.72.2
28.826.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4377
#20
26.60.6
25.825.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
5227
#31
23.42.2
26.624.4
Auto
Teleop
End