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Red215
362055.7
150214.4
233776.0
Blue132
438143.6
357249.9
485537.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13913005001,0001,500215132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.01.3
73.174.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.1
49.90.0
50.250.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
55.71.3
52.854.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.1
43.60.0
43.943.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1502
#36
14.41.3
11.512.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.0
4855
#13
37.40.0
37.737.7
Auto
Teleop
End