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Red6
21457.9
118816.6
52528.6
Blue95
170133.5
468016.5
47022.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66590100150200695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1188
#23
16.64.9
18.813.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.9
1701
#32
33.52.9
27.230.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5252
#29
8.65.6
14.79.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.3
470
#28
22.92.9
20.923.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2145
#40
7.94.9
32.327.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.6
4680
#31
16.52.9
11.814.8
Auto
Teleop
End