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Red150
341449.1
57351.7
439820.9
Blue27
52528.6
170133.5
440525.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9256015020015027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#4
51.75.3
43.749.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.3
1701
#32
33.52.9
30.127.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3414
#12
49.15.3
32.537.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.4
4405
#17
25.62.9
22.819.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4398
#26
20.95.3
10.315.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.2
5252
#29
8.62.9
9.16.2
Auto
Teleop
End