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Red77
21457.9
468016.5
485411.7
Blue97
354726.5
86244.0
484014.3
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions467601001507797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4680
#31
16.52.2
17.619.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 27.5
862
#11
44.02.1
35.938.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4854
#37
11.72.2
9.311.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.8
3547
#18
26.52.1
25.527.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2145
#40
7.92.2
24.326.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
4840
#27
14.32.1
10.012.1
Auto
Teleop
End