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Red46
508617.1
52528.6
247440.1
Blue56
438013.4
47022.9
83511.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544701001504656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2474
#30
40.10.6
33.332.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.2
470
#28
22.90.6
22.222.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5086
#21
17.10.6
13.613.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
4380
#20
13.40.6
8.59.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5252
#29
8.60.6
6.25.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
835
#10
11.60.6
17.818.5
Auto
Teleop
End