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Red25
523511.7
309850.2
21457.9
Blue101
247440.1
10758.3
9418.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7010005015020025025101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.24.2
37.333.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
107
#3
58.30.5
50.751.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5235
#25
11.74.2
11.17.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.4
2474
#30
40.10.5
32.733.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2145
#40
7.94.2
26.422.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.0
94
#24
18.90.5
11.812.3
Auto
Teleop
End